Trip Rates

Consistent with declines in travel during the COVID-19 pandemic era, the overall trip rate in the region decreased by 32%, from 4.17 trips per person per day in 2019 to 2.82 trips per person per day in 2021. Trip rates rebounded somewhat in 2023, to 3.48 trips per person per day, but this was still about 17% below the pre-pandemic trip rate.

Table 1: Unweighted and Weighted Trip Rate by Year
Survey Year Unweighted Weighted
Trips Days Trip Rate Trips Days Trip Rate
2019 329,021 79,556 4.18 ± 0.02 15,348,964 3,682,918 4.17 ± 0.04
2021 176,093 49,567 3.48 ± 0.02 10,670,349 3,748,414 2.85 ± 0.04
2023 104,611 28,838 3.68 ± 0.03 13,038,925 3,750,006 3.48 ± 0.05
Error margins are +/- 1 standard error of the mean.

Relative to low-income households, higher-income households saw the largest declines in trip rates from 2019. This finding is consistent with the adoption of trip replacement behaviors like teleworking and online shopping that became more widespread during the pandemic, especially among high-income households with higher-salary office jobs. Before the pandemic, the highest-income households had the highest trip rates by a wide margin; after the pandemic, the margin had closed.

Figure 1: Trip Rate by Household Income and Survey Year

Figure 2 displays the average trip rate per person per day by trip departure hour, segmented into six time periods. The highest trip rates occurred in the evening peak hours (4:00 p.m.- 6:00 p.m.), with 2019 showing the peak at more than 1 trips per person per day. Trip rates were generally lower in the overnight hours (10:00 p.m.- 6:00 a.m.) and evening (7:00 p.m.- 9:00 p.m.).

Trip rates decreased in every time period from 2019 to 2021, but the decrease was most substantial for the evening peak hour (4:00 p.m.- 6:00 p.m.). From 2021 to 2023, trip rates rebounded in every time period.

Figure 2: Trip Rate by Time of Day and Survey Year

Figure 3 shows trip rates by the traveler’s age and survey year. Across all three waves of the survey, middle-aged adults had the highest trip rates, consistent with a greater propensity for this group to make shopping, escort and errand trips. Children had the lowest trip rates, but these results should be interpreted with caution: even with advancements in proxy reporting methods and data cleaning, childrens’ trip rates are historically under-reported and difficult to capture.

Trip rates declined for all age groups from 2019 to 2021 with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. From 2021 to 2023, trip rates rebounded for all age groups.

Figure 3: Trip Rate by Age Group and Survey Year

Declines and rebounds in trip rates also varied by geography. A rebound in trip rates to near pre-pandemic levels was observed in Urban Center and Agricultural geographies, but Suburban, Suburban Edge and Urban geographies all exemplified consistent declines or a lack of a rebound.

Figure 4: Trip Rate by Thrive Community Type and Survey Year